Athabasca Oil Corp Stock Performance

ATH Stock  CAD 8.78  0.24  2.81%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Athabasca Oil holds a performance score of 8. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.97, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Athabasca Oil returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Athabasca Oil is expected to follow. Please check Athabasca Oil's maximum drawdown, skewness, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and downside variance , to make a quick decision on whether Athabasca Oil's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Athabasca Oil Corp are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very unfluctuating technical indicators, Athabasca Oil displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
1
Athabasca Oil Stock Price Crosses Above 200 Day Moving Average - Heres What Happened - MarketBeat
12/02/2025
2
Athabasca Oil Corporations Stock Has Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Strong Is The Market Wrong - Yahoo Finance
12/18/2025
3
Athabasca Oil Trading Down 9.7 percent - Should You Sell - MarketBeat
01/05/2026
4
Athabasca Oil Price Target Lowered to C7.00 at Royal Bank Of Canada - MarketBeat
01/13/2026
5
Athabasca Oil Cut to Sector Perform at Royal Bank Of Canada - MarketBeat
02/23/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow343.3 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-251.3 M
  

Athabasca Oil Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  761.00  in Athabasca Oil Corp on November 27, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  117.00  from holding Athabasca Oil Corp or generate 15.37% return on investment over 90 days. Athabasca Oil Corp is generating 0.2705% of daily returns assuming 2.543% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 22% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than Athabasca Oil, and 95% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Athabasca Oil is expected to generate 3.33 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.33 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.11 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Athabasca Oil Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Athabasca Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 8.78 90 days 8.78 
nearly 4.23
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Athabasca Oil to move above the current price in 90 days from now is nearly 4.23 (This Athabasca Oil Corp probability density function shows the probability of Athabasca Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Athabasca Oil has a beta of 0.97. This suggests Athabasca Oil Corp market returns are highly reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Athabasca Oil is expected to follow. Additionally Athabasca Oil Corp has an alpha of 0.1266, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Athabasca Oil Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Athabasca Oil

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Athabasca Oil Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.138.6711.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.688.2210.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.188.7211.26
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.130.140.13
Details

Athabasca Oil Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Athabasca Oil is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Athabasca Oil's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Athabasca Oil Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Athabasca Oil within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.97
σ
Overall volatility
0.69
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Athabasca Oil Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Athabasca Oil for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Athabasca Oil Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Athabasca Oil Corp has accumulated 199.73 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.25, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Athabasca Oil Corp has a current ratio of 0.87, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Athabasca Oil until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Athabasca Oil's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Athabasca Oil Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Athabasca to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Athabasca Oil's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Athabasca Oil Cut to Sector Perform at Royal Bank Of Canada - MarketBeat

Athabasca Oil Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Athabasca Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Athabasca Oil's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Athabasca Oil's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding553.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments344.8 M

Athabasca Oil Fundamentals Growth

Athabasca Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Athabasca Oil, and Athabasca Oil fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Athabasca Stock performance.

About Athabasca Oil Performance

By examining Athabasca Oil's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Athabasca Oil's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Athabasca Oil is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 26.28  38.92 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.22  0.23 
Return On Capital Employed 0.20  0.18 
Return On Assets 0.22  0.23 
Return On Equity 0.31  0.32 

Things to note about Athabasca Oil Corp performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Athabasca Oil for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Athabasca Oil Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Athabasca Oil Corp has accumulated 199.73 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.25, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Athabasca Oil Corp has a current ratio of 0.87, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Athabasca Oil until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Athabasca Oil's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Athabasca Oil Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Athabasca to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Athabasca Oil's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Athabasca Oil Cut to Sector Perform at Royal Bank Of Canada - MarketBeat
Evaluating Athabasca Oil's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Athabasca Oil's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Athabasca Oil's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Athabasca Oil's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Athabasca Oil's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Athabasca Oil's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Athabasca Oil's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Athabasca Oil's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Athabasca Oil's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Athabasca Oil's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Athabasca Oil's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Athabasca Stock

Athabasca Oil financial ratios help investors to determine whether Athabasca Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Athabasca with respect to the benefits of owning Athabasca Oil security.